Trader consensus around a broad 16–23°C range for Cape Town’s August 24 maximum reflects substantial forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead during Southern Hemisphere winter. Regional temperatures are modulated by the cold Benguela Current, frequent Atlantic cold fronts, and variable ridging of the South Atlantic high, which can produce rapid swings between onshore southwesterlies (suppressing daytime heating) and warmer northerly flow. Historical August averages near 17–19°C provide a baseline, yet short-term model spreads arise from differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities evenly distributed across mid-range bins and negligible odds below 15°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability without a dominant signal from the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 24. August?
19°C 41%
18°C 30%
20°C 22%
17°C 14%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
30%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
12%
22°C
11%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 41%
18°C 30%
20°C 22%
17°C 14%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$5 Vol.
41%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a broad 16–23°C range for Cape Town’s August 24 maximum reflects substantial forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead during Southern Hemisphere winter. Regional temperatures are modulated by the cold Benguela Current, frequent Atlantic cold fronts, and variable ridging of the South Atlantic high, which can produce rapid swings between onshore southwesterlies (suppressing daytime heating) and warmer northerly flow. Historical August averages near 17–19°C provide a baseline, yet short-term model spreads arise from differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities evenly distributed across mid-range bins and negligible odds below 15°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability without a dominant signal from the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volumen
$5Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a broad 16–23°C range for Cape Town’s August 24 maximum reflects substantial forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead during Southern Hemisphere winter. Regional temperatures are modulated by the cold Benguela Current, frequent Atlantic cold fronts, and variable ridging of the South Atlantic high, which can produce rapid swings between onshore southwesterlies (suppressing daytime heating) and warmer northerly flow. Historical August averages near 17–19°C provide a baseline, yet short-term model spreads arise from differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities evenly distributed across mid-range bins and negligible odds below 15°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability without a dominant signal from the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a broad 16–23°C range for Cape Town’s August 24 maximum reflects substantial forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead during Southern Hemisphere winter. Regional temperatures are modulated by the cold Benguela Current, frequent Atlantic cold fronts, and variable ridging of the South Atlantic high, which can produce rapid swings between onshore southwesterlies (suppressing daytime heating) and warmer northerly flow. Historical August averages near 17–19°C provide a baseline, yet short-term model spreads arise from differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities evenly distributed across mid-range bins and negligible odds below 15°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability without a dominant signal from the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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