Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. August?
7°C oder darunter 91%
17°C oder höher 90%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
91%
8°C
10%
9°C
14%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C oder höher
90%
7°C oder darunter 91%
17°C oder höher 90%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
91%
8°C
$0 Vol.
10%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
11%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C
$5 Vol.
19%
17°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volumen
$24Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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