Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside national guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24 under weak northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C, as small differences in low-level moisture, diurnal heating under variable insolation, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 17–18°C, but current guidance favors slightly above-average values absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated model runs and local observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 24. August?
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
12°C oder weniger
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16 °C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
50%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C oder höher
1%
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
12°C oder weniger
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16 °C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
50%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside national guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Helsinki on August 24 under weak northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C, as small differences in low-level moisture, diurnal heating under variable insolation, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 17–18°C, but current guidance favors slightly above-average values absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated model runs and local observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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