Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 24. August?
18°C oder darunter 95%
28°C oder höher 93%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C oder darunter
95%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C oder höher
93%
18°C oder darunter 95%
28°C oder höher 93%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C oder darunter
95%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C oder höher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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