Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 24. August?
25°C oder höher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C oder höher
39%
25°C oder höher 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
5%
16°C
$10 Vol.
13%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$9 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$10 Vol.
7%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volumen
$49Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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