Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a daily high near 106–107°F for Dallas on August 23 under persistent high pressure, southwesterly flow, and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 106–107°F bin (43% implied probability) and adjacent 104–105°F (27%) and 108–109°F (22%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours before verification. Extreme heat warnings remain in effect across North Texas amid ongoing triple-digit conditions, with historical late-August climatology supporting peaks in this range absent significant frontal or convective disruption. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and any isolated storms could nudge the final observed high slightly lower or higher, but consensus keeps probabilities concentrated between 104–109°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 23. August?
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
22%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
3%
114-115°F
3%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
1%
120°F or higher
1%
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
22%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
3%
114-115°F
3%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
1%
120°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a daily high near 106–107°F for Dallas on August 23 under persistent high pressure, southwesterly flow, and mostly sunny skies that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 106–107°F bin (43% implied probability) and adjacent 104–105°F (27%) and 108–109°F (22%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours before verification. Extreme heat warnings remain in effect across North Texas amid ongoing triple-digit conditions, with historical late-August climatology supporting peaks in this range absent significant frontal or convective disruption. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and any isolated storms could nudge the final observed high slightly lower or higher, but consensus keeps probabilities concentrated between 104–109°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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