Official National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on August 23 projects a sunny high near 75°F amid northwest winds of 10-15 mph, anchoring the near-even market split between the 74-75°F and 76-77°F bins. Northwest flow is advecting cooler continental air while limiting lake-breeze moderation and daytime heating; ensemble model spreads remain tight, with most solutions clustered in the mid-70s. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, exact wind timing, or residual moisture from earlier disturbances could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the below-average pattern currently favored by guidance, leaving little room for outcomes above 78°F or below 74°F under present synoptic conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
65°F oder weniger
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
65°F oder weniger
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance for Chicago on August 23 projects a sunny high near 75°F amid northwest winds of 10-15 mph, anchoring the near-even market split between the 74-75°F and 76-77°F bins. Northwest flow is advecting cooler continental air while limiting lake-breeze moderation and daytime heating; ensemble model spreads remain tight, with most solutions clustered in the mid-70s. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, exact wind timing, or residual moisture from earlier disturbances could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the below-average pattern currently favored by guidance, leaving little room for outcomes above 78°F or below 74°F under present synoptic conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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