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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?

Aug. 22

Aug. 23

Aug. 22

Aug. 23

68-69°F 40%

60-61 °F 38%

58-59°F 35%

56-57°F 25%

Polymarket
NEU

68-69°F 40%

60-61 °F 38%

58-59°F 35%

56-57°F 25%

Polymarket
NEU

51°F oder weniger

$6 Vol.

2%

52-53°F

$6 Vol.

8%

54-55°F

$0 Vol.

10%

56-57°F

$0 Vol.

25%

58-59°F

$0 Vol.

35%

60-61 °F

$0 Vol.

38%

62-63°F

$0 Vol.

23%

64-65°F

$0 Vol.

9%

66-67°F

$0 Vol.

9%

68-69°F

$20 Vol.

40%

70°F oder höher

$45 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects Chicago’s overnight low for August 23 near the 1991–2020 normal of 64 °F, with model ensembles clustering between 62–68 °F. This consensus underpins the tight market distribution around 58–63 °F bins. Primary drivers include clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling after sunset, light northwesterly flow limiting warm-air advection, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer temperatures. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, variations in low-level moisture and mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions will refine these variables ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$77
Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects Chicago’s overnight low for August 23 near the 1991–2020 normal of 64 °F, with model ensembles clustering between 62–68 °F. This consensus underpins the tight market distribution around 58–63 °F bins. Primary drivers include clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiational cooling after sunset, light northwesterly flow limiting warm-air advection, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer temperatures. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, variations in low-level moisture and mixing depth, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions will refine these variables ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$77
Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Chicago am 23. August zwischen 76-77°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Chicago am 23. August zwischen 76-77°F liegen?

43%
Ja
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 22. August zwischen 66-67°F liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 22. August zwischen 66-67°F liegen?

94%
Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Chicago am 22. August zwischen 80-81°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Chicago am 22. August zwischen 80-81°F liegen?

63%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „60-61 °F" mit 38%, gefolgt von „58-59°F" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 38¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?" ist „60-61 °F" mit 38%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 38% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „58-59°F" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.