Current forecast consensus from UK Met Office, BBC, and regional models points to a 36–38°C daily maximum in Wuhan on August 27 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and typical late-summer humidity near 55–70%. These factors sustain strong daytime heating while limiting evaporative cooling or cold-air advection. Historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) and the confirmed 35°C peak on August 21 anchor expectations, yet minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing across ensembles create the tight 37–39°C clustering in trader prices. Updated model runs before resolution will refine whether surface temperatures reach the upper end of the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 27. August?
38°C 38%
37°C 27%
39°C 27%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
27%
38°C
38%
39°C
27%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 38%
37°C 27%
39°C 27%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
27%
38°C
38%
39°C
27%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from UK Met Office, BBC, and regional models points to a 36–38°C daily maximum in Wuhan on August 27 under subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and typical late-summer humidity near 55–70%. These factors sustain strong daytime heating while limiting evaporative cooling or cold-air advection. Historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) and the confirmed 35°C peak on August 21 anchor expectations, yet minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing across ensembles create the tight 37–39°C clustering in trader prices. Updated model runs before resolution will refine whether surface temperatures reach the upper end of the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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