Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
22°C 9%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
42%
25°C
26%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
22°C 9%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$59 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$45 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
42%
25°C
$85 Vol.
26%
26°C
$11 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$280 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$818Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$818Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to a high-pressure ridge over central Europe bringing mostly clear skies and light easterly flow to Warsaw on August 27, favoring afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Stable anticyclonic conditions with low humidity and minimal cloud cover support modest diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air, keeping values below late-August climatological peaks. Current forecasts cluster around 24 °C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability there, while small spreads to 23 °C or 25 °C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds. New model runs and official IMGW updates over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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