Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C low for Warsaw on August 25 because official meteorological observations, including early-morning readings near 9°C at Chopin Airport, confirm the temperature bottomed at that level under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-August radiative cooling when dew points drop and cloud cover remains minimal, allowing surface heat to escape efficiently. The 99% implied probability reflects real-time station data and model consensus showing little room for deviation once the nocturnal minimum passes. Only an unexpected data revision from the Polish Institute of Meteorology or a later, unseasonably cold pocket could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 25. August?
8°C 99%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$5,298 Vol.
$5,298 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
99%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 99%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$5,298 Vol.
$5,298 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
$180 Vol.
1%
7°C
$312 Vol.
2%
8°C
$166 Vol.
99%
9°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C low for Warsaw on August 25 because official meteorological observations, including early-morning readings near 9°C at Chopin Airport, confirm the temperature bottomed at that level under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-August radiative cooling when dew points drop and cloud cover remains minimal, allowing surface heat to escape efficiently. The 99% implied probability reflects real-time station data and model consensus showing little room for deviation once the nocturnal minimum passes. Only an unexpected data revision from the Polish Institute of Meteorology or a later, unseasonably cold pocket could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,298Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C low for Warsaw on August 25 because official meteorological observations, including early-morning readings near 9°C at Chopin Airport, confirm the temperature bottomed at that level under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-August radiative cooling when dew points drop and cloud cover remains minimal, allowing surface heat to escape efficiently. The 99% implied probability reflects real-time station data and model consensus showing little room for deviation once the nocturnal minimum passes. Only an unexpected data revision from the Polish Institute of Meteorology or a later, unseasonably cold pocket could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,298Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an 8°C low for Warsaw on August 25 because official meteorological observations, including early-morning readings near 9°C at Chopin Airport, confirm the temperature bottomed at that level under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-August radiative cooling when dew points drop and cloud cover remains minimal, allowing surface heat to escape efficiently. The 99% implied probability reflects real-time station data and model consensus showing little room for deviation once the nocturnal minimum passes. Only an unexpected data revision from the Polish Institute of Meteorology or a later, unseasonably cold pocket could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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