Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mostly settled day with easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and highs centered near 23–25°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Easterly flow off the North Sea moderates daytime heating compared to recent southerly or calm conditions earlier in August, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow moderate solar warming without strong advection of warmer continental air. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context, with current guidance showing no major model divergence yet but potential for small adjustments from evolving cloud timing or wind shifts overnight into the 25th. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors heavily over longer-range seasonal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 25. August?
23°C 34%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
NEU
$14,038 Vol.
NEU
$14,038 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
34%
24°C
22%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 34%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
NEU
$14,038 Vol.
NEU
$14,038 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$138 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$212 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$840 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,096 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,468 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,117 Vol.
25%
23°C
$3,434 Vol.
34%
24°C
$4,257 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,061 Vol.
9%
26°C
$185 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mostly settled day with easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and highs centered near 23–25°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Easterly flow off the North Sea moderates daytime heating compared to recent southerly or calm conditions earlier in August, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow moderate solar warming without strong advection of warmer continental air. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context, with current guidance showing no major model divergence yet but potential for small adjustments from evolving cloud timing or wind shifts overnight into the 25th. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors heavily over longer-range seasonal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$14,038Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mostly settled day with easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and highs centered near 23–25°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Easterly flow off the North Sea moderates daytime heating compared to recent southerly or calm conditions earlier in August, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow moderate solar warming without strong advection of warmer continental air. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context, with current guidance showing no major model divergence yet but potential for small adjustments from evolving cloud timing or wind shifts overnight into the 25th. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors heavily over longer-range seasonal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,038Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mostly settled day with easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and highs centered near 23–25°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Easterly flow off the North Sea moderates daytime heating compared to recent southerly or calm conditions earlier in August, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow moderate solar warming without strong advection of warmer continental air. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context, with current guidance showing no major model divergence yet but potential for small adjustments from evolving cloud timing or wind shifts overnight into the 25th. Traders appear to weight these near-term dynamical factors heavily over longer-range seasonal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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