Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 25. August?
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15°C 15%
18°C 10%
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15°C 15%
18°C 10%
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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