Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31–32°C and frequent precipitation that can suppress extremes, while the market's emphasis on these values reflects trader assessment of current model consensus over historical peaks above 35°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing remains the key uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
31°C 48%
32°C 36%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
48%
32°C
36%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 36%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$616 Vol.
1%
28°C
$306 Vol.
2%
29°C
$301 Vol.
4%
30°C
$816 Vol.
10%
31°C
$818 Vol.
48%
32°C
$924 Vol.
36%
33°C
$373 Vol.
6%
34°C
$286 Vol.
2%
35°C
$249 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31–32°C and frequent precipitation that can suppress extremes, while the market's emphasis on these values reflects trader assessment of current model consensus over historical peaks above 35°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing remains the key uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,265Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31–32°C and frequent precipitation that can suppress extremes, while the market's emphasis on these values reflects trader assessment of current model consensus over historical peaks above 35°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing remains the key uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,265Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31–32°C and frequent precipitation that can suppress extremes, while the market's emphasis on these values reflects trader assessment of current model consensus over historical peaks above 35°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns or rainfall timing remains the key uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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