Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 25. August?
15°C 37%
14°C 21%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
9°C or below
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
14%
14°C
21%
15°C
23%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 37%
14°C 21%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
9°C or below
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
14%
14°C
21%
15°C
23%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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