Persistent heat and elevated humidity across Southern California have driven trader sentiment toward warmer overnight lows for Los Angeles on August 25, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 70–72°F at key stations like KLAX amid a strong upper-level ridge. Weak marine layer influence and poor nocturnal radiational cooling—exacerbated by high dew points—have kept recent nights anomalously warm relative to the 66°F August climatological average, supporting the market's emphasis on the 70–71°F bucket at 30.5% implied probability. At the same time, residual model uncertainty around timing of any onshore flow or brief cooling episodes sustains the 47% odds on 63°F or below, while probabilities for 72°F+ remain low given the entrenched airmass. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 25. August?
63°F oder darunter 60%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 25%
63°F oder darunter
60%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
27%
70-71 °F
30%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
63°F oder darunter 60%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 25%
63°F oder darunter
60%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
27%
70-71 °F
30%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat and elevated humidity across Southern California have driven trader sentiment toward warmer overnight lows for Los Angeles on August 25, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 70–72°F at key stations like KLAX amid a strong upper-level ridge. Weak marine layer influence and poor nocturnal radiational cooling—exacerbated by high dew points—have kept recent nights anomalously warm relative to the 66°F August climatological average, supporting the market's emphasis on the 70–71°F bucket at 30.5% implied probability. At the same time, residual model uncertainty around timing of any onshore flow or brief cooling episodes sustains the 47% odds on 63°F or below, while probabilities for 72°F+ remain low given the entrenched airmass. Updated NHC and local model guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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