**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because the latest official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and major global models converge on a daytime maximum near 29 °C.** Persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress boundary-layer heating, keeping peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small differences in cloud timing and thickness separating the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C scenarios. Any earlier-than-forecast clearing or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 31 °C, while prolonged overcast conditions would favor the lower side of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 27. August?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
27°C 14%
NEU
$10,210 Vol.
NEU
$10,210 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
27°C 14%
NEU
$10,210 Vol.
NEU
$10,210 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$1,355 Vol.
2%
26°C
$541 Vol.
5%
27°C
$937 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,359 Vol.
20%
29°C
$871 Vol.
25%
30°C
$870 Vol.
24%
31°C
$1,051 Vol.
12%
32°C
$490 Vol.
5%
33°C
$290 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,009 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because the latest official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and major global models converge on a daytime maximum near 29 °C.** Persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress boundary-layer heating, keeping peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small differences in cloud timing and thickness separating the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C scenarios. Any earlier-than-forecast clearing or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 31 °C, while prolonged overcast conditions would favor the lower side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$10,210Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because the latest official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and major global models converge on a daytime maximum near 29 °C.** Persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress boundary-layer heating, keeping peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small differences in cloud timing and thickness separating the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C scenarios. Any earlier-than-forecast clearing or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 31 °C, while prolonged overcast conditions would favor the lower side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,210Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because the latest official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and major global models converge on a daytime maximum near 29 °C.** Persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress boundary-layer heating, keeping peak temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small differences in cloud timing and thickness separating the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C scenarios. Any earlier-than-forecast clearing or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 31 °C, while prolonged overcast conditions would favor the lower side of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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