Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 26. August?
35°C 25%
36°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
24%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 25%
36°C 24%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
24%
37°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daytime high near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, with scattered afternoon showers, variable cloud cover, and high humidity expected to suppress peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because subtle differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation under the subtropical monsoon regime can shift the maximum by 1–2°C; clearer breaks would favor the upper end while earlier or heavier thundershowers would cap readings near 34°C. Historical late-August averages of 31–33°C at the Shuangliu station provide context, but the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for model adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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