Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and Met Office point to a high near 34–35°C in Busan on August 26, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure advecting hot, humid air across the region amid late-summer conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate cloud cover may cap extremes, while scattered showers introduce minor cooling risk; model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution at this range. Historical August highs average near 29–30°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth consistent with ongoing heatwave alerts across southern Korea. Traders appear to weigh these official model runs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering around 34–36°C reflecting the narrow but uncertain window between stable high-pressure dominance and any late-day convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 26. August?
35°C 48%
36°C 26%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
48%
36°C
26%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 48%
36°C 26%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
48%
36°C
26%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and Met Office point to a high near 34–35°C in Busan on August 26, driven by persistent North Pacific high pressure advecting hot, humid air across the region amid late-summer conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate cloud cover may cap extremes, while scattered showers introduce minor cooling risk; model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution at this range. Historical August highs average near 29–30°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth consistent with ongoing heatwave alerts across southern Korea. Traders appear to weigh these official model runs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering around 34–36°C reflecting the narrow but uncertain window between stable high-pressure dominance and any late-day convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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