Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high near 19°C in Toronto on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and west-to-southwest winds advecting cooler air. This setup limits daytime heating relative to the late-August climatological average of about 25°C, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C as the likely peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 19°C, incorporates uncertainty from minor model spread and potential for brief clearing that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 24. August?
19°C 40%
18°C 26%
20°C 26%
17°C 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
26%
19°C
40%
20°C
26%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 40%
18°C 26%
20°C 26%
17°C 5%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
1%
16°C
$277 Vol.
2%
17°C
$252 Vol.
5%
18°C
$608 Vol.
26%
19°C
$341 Vol.
40%
20°C
$517 Vol.
26%
21°C
$524 Vol.
5%
22°C
$80 Vol.
3%
23°C
$19 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$89 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high near 19°C in Toronto on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and west-to-southwest winds advecting cooler air. This setup limits daytime heating relative to the late-August climatological average of about 25°C, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C as the likely peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 19°C, incorporates uncertainty from minor model spread and potential for brief clearing that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,737Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high near 19°C in Toronto on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and west-to-southwest winds advecting cooler air. This setup limits daytime heating relative to the late-August climatological average of about 25°C, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C as the likely peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 19°C, incorporates uncertainty from minor model spread and potential for brief clearing that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,737Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high near 19°C in Toronto on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and west-to-southwest winds advecting cooler air. This setup limits daytime heating relative to the late-August climatological average of about 25°C, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C as the likely peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 19°C, incorporates uncertainty from minor model spread and potential for brief clearing that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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