The market's near-certain pricing on a 28°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 26 reflects the latest consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, indicating overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and modest northwest winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with recent observations of temperatures peaking near 26–28°C amid humid, stable air masses typical of late August in the North China Plain, where seasonal averages reach about 29–30°C but have trended cooler recently due to precipitation. Trader positioning incorporates the short forecast horizon and low likelihood of rapid clearing that could push readings higher. A stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed rainfall could realistically elevate the peak toward 30°C or above, though current model runs show limited divergence on this timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. August?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$75,026 Vol.
$75,026 Vol.
26. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$75,026 Vol.
$75,026 Vol.
26. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,256 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,558 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,671 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,935 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20,689 Vol.
100%
29°C
$9,706 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$8,539 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 28°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 26 reflects the latest consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, indicating overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and modest northwest winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with recent observations of temperatures peaking near 26–28°C amid humid, stable air masses typical of late August in the North China Plain, where seasonal averages reach about 29–30°C but have trended cooler recently due to precipitation. Trader positioning incorporates the short forecast horizon and low likelihood of rapid clearing that could push readings higher. A stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed rainfall could realistically elevate the peak toward 30°C or above, though current model runs show limited divergence on this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$75,026Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 28°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 26 reflects the latest consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, indicating overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and modest northwest winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with recent observations of temperatures peaking near 26–28°C amid humid, stable air masses typical of late August in the North China Plain, where seasonal averages reach about 29–30°C but have trended cooler recently due to precipitation. Trader positioning incorporates the short forecast horizon and low likelihood of rapid clearing that could push readings higher. A stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed rainfall could realistically elevate the peak toward 30°C or above, though current model runs show limited divergence on this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$75,026Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain pricing on a 28°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 26 reflects the latest consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance, indicating overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and modest northwest winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with recent observations of temperatures peaking near 26–28°C amid humid, stable air masses typical of late August in the North China Plain, where seasonal averages reach about 29–30°C but have trended cooler recently due to precipitation. Trader positioning incorporates the short forecast horizon and low likelihood of rapid clearing that could push readings higher. A stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed rainfall could realistically elevate the peak toward 30°C or above, though current model runs show limited divergence on this timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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