Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models place Chongqing's August 28 maximum near 36–38 °C under continued subtropical high influence, with the market's tight clustering around 35–37 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective timing. Scattered showers or thunderstorms tied to lingering typhoon remnants are expected to develop over western and southern districts by late afternoon, potentially limiting peak solar heating and capping readings below recent 39–40 °C values. Light winds, high humidity near 60–70 %, and cloud cover increases differentiate the closely matched outcomes, as earlier or more widespread precipitation would favor 35 °C while delayed or localized storms support 37 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance on storm initiation timing remains the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.