Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 29. August?
28°C 34%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
19%
28°C
22%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$100 Vol.
2%
26°C
$20 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$17 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$10 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$7 Vol.
7%
33°C
$379 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$310 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$843Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$843Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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