Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 13–14°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on August 27, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a passing front that will limit daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Late-winter climatology in the region typically yields highs near 12°C, but recent northerly flow produced warmer readings up to 17°C on August 25; the expected directional change and increased marine influence are now capping potential peaks. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model spreads in wind timing and cloud thickness, with fresh guidance expected overnight before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 27. August?
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
12°C 3%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
33%
14°C
52%
15°C
12%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
12°C 3%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
33%
14°C
52%
15°C
12%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 13–14°C as the most probable maximum for Wellington on August 27, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a passing front that will limit daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Late-winter climatology in the region typically yields highs near 12°C, but recent northerly flow produced warmer readings up to 17°C on August 25; the expected directional change and increased marine influence are now capping potential peaks. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model spreads in wind timing and cloud thickness, with fresh guidance expected overnight before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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