Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 28. August?
22°C 38%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
16°C oder niedriger
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
28%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C oder höher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
16°C oder niedriger
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C
$31 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$64 Vol.
28%
22°C
$107 Vol.
38%
23°C
$18 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$38 Vol.
1%
26°C oder höher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$301Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$301Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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