Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 26. August?
16°C 64%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
27%
16°C
64%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$416 Vol.
4%
15°C
$439 Vol.
27%
16°C
$412 Vol.
64%
17°C
$649 Vol.
12%
18°C
$174 Vol.
2%
19°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,089Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,089Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 26, 2026, with partly cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northwesterly winds, positioning 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes. Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature average highs near 12–13°C, but recent model runs and observed trends show a modest warming influence from northerly flows that can elevate daytime temperatures by 2–3°C above seasonal norms. The NIWA seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most probable for the Wellington region through August, with no strong signals for extremes. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast heavily while assigning limited probability to warmer anomalies, given the narrow historical range and stable synoptic patterns expected to hold through the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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