Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated thunderstorm development are the main factors capping Manila's August 28 daytime maximum, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models converging on 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and high precipitation probability. Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain and elevated humidity near 85–90% further suppress peak readings, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological averages of about 30°C. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this model agreement alongside typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and local convective timing that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or heavier rain limiting the high to 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 28. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 28. August?
30°C 34%
29°C 26%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
34%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C oder höher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 26%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69 Vol.
2%
27°C
$156 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,257 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,617 Vol.
26%
30°C
$75 Vol.
34%
31°C
$345 Vol.
17%
32°C
$151 Vol.
4%
33°C oder höher
$165 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated thunderstorm development are the main factors capping Manila's August 28 daytime maximum, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models converging on 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and high precipitation probability. Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain and elevated humidity near 85–90% further suppress peak readings, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological averages of about 30°C. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this model agreement alongside typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and local convective timing that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or heavier rain limiting the high to 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,462Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated thunderstorm development are the main factors capping Manila's August 28 daytime maximum, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models converging on 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and high precipitation probability. Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain and elevated humidity near 85–90% further suppress peak readings, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological averages of about 30°C. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this model agreement alongside typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and local convective timing that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or heavier rain limiting the high to 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,462Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and associated thunderstorm development are the main factors capping Manila's August 28 daytime maximum, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models converging on 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies and high precipitation probability. Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain and elevated humidity near 85–90% further suppress peak readings, keeping values near or slightly below late-August climatological averages of about 30°C. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects this model agreement alongside typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and local convective timing that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or heavier rain limiting the high to 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen