Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 28 point to overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and limited overnight cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Forecast spreads across ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–81°F bins, as small differences in dew point depression or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Typical late-August climatology for the region shows similar nocturnal ranges, with official verification depending on the exact station minimum reported by midnight. Updated model runs and evening observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 28. August?
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
70-71°F 31%
78-79°F 27%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
23%
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
70-71°F 31%
78-79°F 27%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 28 point to overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and limited overnight cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Forecast spreads across ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–81°F bins, as small differences in dew point depression or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Typical late-August climatology for the region shows similar nocturnal ranges, with official verification depending on the exact station minimum reported by midnight. Updated model runs and evening observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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