**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations call for a high near 82–83°F on August 27, 2026, amid partly sunny skies turning mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.** South winds of 10–15 mph and high humidity support this range, while scattered storms and cloud cover are expected to cap further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term August 27 average high of 81.8°F and explains the dominant 50.5% market-implied probability on 82–83°F. The next tier (80–81°F at 26.5%) reflects uncertainty from possible heavier rain timing or slightly cooler steering flow, while the lower 12.5% odds on 84–85°F capture the small chance that storms hold off and allow brief additional heating. No heat wave or anomalous ridging is present, keeping higher bins at minimal probability. Traders are weighting the latest NWS model consensus and observed morning conditions, which show modest overnight lows near 70–74°F and steady southerly moisture transport without extreme warmth. Updated afternoon forecasts or radar trends on storm coverage could still shift the final observed maximum within the narrow leading range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 27. August?
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
NEU
$25,550 Vol.
NEU
$25,550 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
NEU
$25,550 Vol.
NEU
$25,550 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
69°F or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,151 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,771 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,146 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$4,748 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$4,577 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$3,585 Vol.
51%
84-85°F
$1,294 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$470 Vol.
2%
88°F or higher
$357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations call for a high near 82–83°F on August 27, 2026, amid partly sunny skies turning mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.** South winds of 10–15 mph and high humidity support this range, while scattered storms and cloud cover are expected to cap further warming.
This aligns closely with the long-term August 27 average high of 81.8°F and explains the dominant 50.5% market-implied probability on 82–83°F. The next tier (80–81°F at 26.5%) reflects uncertainty from possible heavier rain timing or slightly cooler steering flow, while the lower 12.5% odds on 84–85°F capture the small chance that storms hold off and allow brief additional heating. No heat wave or anomalous ridging is present, keeping higher bins at minimal probability.
Traders are weighting the latest NWS model consensus and observed morning conditions, which show modest overnight lows near 70–74°F and steady southerly moisture transport without extreme warmth. Updated afternoon forecasts or radar trends on storm coverage could still shift the final observed maximum within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$25,550Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations call for a high near 82–83°F on August 27, 2026, amid partly sunny skies turning mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.** South winds of 10–15 mph and high humidity support this range, while scattered storms and cloud cover are expected to cap further warming.
This aligns closely with the long-term August 27 average high of 81.8°F and explains the dominant 50.5% market-implied probability on 82–83°F. The next tier (80–81°F at 26.5%) reflects uncertainty from possible heavier rain timing or slightly cooler steering flow, while the lower 12.5% odds on 84–85°F capture the small chance that storms hold off and allow brief additional heating. No heat wave or anomalous ridging is present, keeping higher bins at minimal probability.
Traders are weighting the latest NWS model consensus and observed morning conditions, which show modest overnight lows near 70–74°F and steady southerly moisture transport without extreme warmth. Updated afternoon forecasts or radar trends on storm coverage could still shift the final observed maximum within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,550Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations call for a high near 82–83°F on August 27, 2026, amid partly sunny skies turning mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.** South winds of 10–15 mph and high humidity support this range, while scattered storms and cloud cover are expected to cap further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term August 27 average high of 81.8°F and explains the dominant 50.5% market-implied probability on 82–83°F. The next tier (80–81°F at 26.5%) reflects uncertainty from possible heavier rain timing or slightly cooler steering flow, while the lower 12.5% odds on 84–85°F capture the small chance that storms hold off and allow brief additional heating. No heat wave or anomalous ridging is present, keeping higher bins at minimal probability. Traders are weighting the latest NWS model consensus and observed morning conditions, which show modest overnight lows near 70–74°F and steady southerly moisture transport without extreme warmth. Updated afternoon forecasts or radar trends on storm coverage could still shift the final observed maximum within the narrow leading range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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