Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for August 27 under partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 15–25 km/h, and 25–40% rain or thunderstorm probability that should limit afternoon peaks. Late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average highs near 31–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, and current model consensus aligns closely with these norms rather than extremes. Trader-implied odds favoring 32°C reflect this stable outlook, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C account for minor forecast variance from precipitation timing or wind strength ahead of the next data updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 27. August?
32°C 59%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
59%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for August 27 under partly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 15–25 km/h, and 25–40% rain or thunderstorm probability that should limit afternoon peaks. Late-August climatology for Shanghai shows average highs near 31–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, and current model consensus aligns closely with these norms rather than extremes. Trader-implied odds favoring 32°C reflect this stable outlook, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C account for minor forecast variance from precipitation timing or wind strength ahead of the next data updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen