Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, while other models indicate 33–34°C if afternoon convection develops. Late-summer atmospheric conditions favor strong solar heating and high humidity that elevates apparent temperatures, yet scattered thunderstorms can cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects routinely adding 1–2°C in central districts. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because model runs remain closely split on the timing and extent of cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from JMA and NOAA ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 26. August?
34°C 35%
35°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
35%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$79 Vol.
1%
31°C
$165 Vol.
2%
32°C
$268 Vol.
4%
33°C
$301 Vol.
16%
34°C
$230 Vol.
35%
35°C
$331 Vol.
29%
36°C
$927 Vol.
14%
37°C
$142 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$3,755 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, while other models indicate 33–34°C if afternoon convection develops. Late-summer atmospheric conditions favor strong solar heating and high humidity that elevates apparent temperatures, yet scattered thunderstorms can cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects routinely adding 1–2°C in central districts. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because model runs remain closely split on the timing and extent of cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from JMA and NOAA ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,805Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, while other models indicate 33–34°C if afternoon convection develops. Late-summer atmospheric conditions favor strong solar heating and high humidity that elevates apparent temperatures, yet scattered thunderstorms can cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects routinely adding 1–2°C in central districts. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because model runs remain closely split on the timing and extent of cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from JMA and NOAA ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,805Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, while other models indicate 33–34°C if afternoon convection develops. Late-summer atmospheric conditions favor strong solar heating and high humidity that elevates apparent temperatures, yet scattered thunderstorms can cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects routinely adding 1–2°C in central districts. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because model runs remain closely split on the timing and extent of cloud cover, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from JMA and NOAA ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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