Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 26 with a projected high of 25°C and only a 30% chance of showers, positioning this as the dominant market outcome. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining toward 24–26°C as solar angles decrease and lake breezes strengthen, while thunderstorm activity expected through the 22–26 window can cap daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C reflects model consensus around these near-normal values rather than heat-wave conditions seen earlier in the season, with low probabilities for 27°C+ underscoring limited intensification potential ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 26. August?
25°C 50%
26°C 29%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
50%
26°C
29%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 29%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
50%
26°C
29%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a mix of sun and cloud for Toronto on August 26 with a projected high of 25°C and only a 30% chance of showers, positioning this as the dominant market outcome. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining toward 24–26°C as solar angles decrease and lake breezes strengthen, while thunderstorm activity expected through the 22–26 window can cap daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C reflects model consensus around these near-normal values rather than heat-wave conditions seen earlier in the season, with low probabilities for 27°C+ underscoring limited intensification potential ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen