**Cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered rain are keeping Madrid's peak temperature tightly constrained on August 27.** Official AEMET guidance and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF-derived) converge on a maximum of 23–24 °C, with 70–90 % probability of precipitation during the morning and early afternoon that limits solar heating. Afternoon southwest flow at 15–20 km/h further suppresses warming relative to the long-term 30.7 °C climatological high. The near-even 24 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (37.0 %) market prices reflect residual uncertainty in exact clearing time and station-specific readings, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low at under 20 % given the persistent marine influence and lack of subsidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 27. August?
24°C 42%
23°C 30%
25°C 20%
26°C 5%
NEU
$68,774 Vol.
NEU
$68,774 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
30%
24°C
42%
25°C
20%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 30%
25°C 20%
26°C 5%
NEU
$68,774 Vol.
NEU
$68,774 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$6,468 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,746 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,667 Vol.
30%
24°C
$7,171 Vol.
42%
25°C
$6,398 Vol.
20%
26°C
$8,660 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,490 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,097 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,678 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$8,151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered rain are keeping Madrid's peak temperature tightly constrained on August 27.** Official AEMET guidance and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF-derived) converge on a maximum of 23–24 °C, with 70–90 % probability of precipitation during the morning and early afternoon that limits solar heating. Afternoon southwest flow at 15–20 km/h further suppresses warming relative to the long-term 30.7 °C climatological high. The near-even 24 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (37.0 %) market prices reflect residual uncertainty in exact clearing time and station-specific readings, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low at under 20 % given the persistent marine influence and lack of subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$68,774Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered rain are keeping Madrid's peak temperature tightly constrained on August 27.** Official AEMET guidance and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF-derived) converge on a maximum of 23–24 °C, with 70–90 % probability of precipitation during the morning and early afternoon that limits solar heating. Afternoon southwest flow at 15–20 km/h further suppresses warming relative to the long-term 30.7 °C climatological high. The near-even 24 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (37.0 %) market prices reflect residual uncertainty in exact clearing time and station-specific readings, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low at under 20 % given the persistent marine influence and lack of subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68,774Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered rain are keeping Madrid's peak temperature tightly constrained on August 27.** Official AEMET guidance and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF-derived) converge on a maximum of 23–24 °C, with 70–90 % probability of precipitation during the morning and early afternoon that limits solar heating. Afternoon southwest flow at 15–20 km/h further suppresses warming relative to the long-term 30.7 °C climatological high. The near-even 24 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (37.0 %) market prices reflect residual uncertainty in exact clearing time and station-specific readings, while probabilities for 25 °C or higher remain low at under 20 % given the persistent marine influence and lack of subsidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen