Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 27. August?
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from DWD-influenced and ECMWF-based models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30 °C for Munich on August 27, driven by building high pressure that promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup follows a cooler, showery period earlier in the week and aligns with late-August climatology for the region. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10 %) and dew points in the mid-teens further support efficient surface heating without significant evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 30 °C and 31 °C leading probabilities mirrors this model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact maximum timing and any late-day convective development that could trim or boost the daily high by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen