Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 25. August?
37°C 30%
36°C 29%
35°C 17%
38°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C
12%
35°C
17%
36°C
29%
37°C
30%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
10%
37°C 30%
36°C 29%
35°C 17%
38°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$422 Vol.
2%
32°C
$62 Vol.
5%
33°C
$5 Vol.
6%
34°C
$37 Vol.
12%
35°C
$25 Vol.
17%
36°C
$7 Vol.
29%
37°C
$123 Vol.
30%
38°C
$59 Vol.
14%
39°C
$1,805 Vol.
4%
40°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$845Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$845Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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