Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models project a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Helsinki on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light southeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (52.5%) and 22°C (27.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of ensemble outcomes. Current readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8°C, supported by modest daytime warming but limited by persistent cloud cover that caps further intensification. Updated model runs released on August 26 show little spread or trend toward warmer or cooler extremes, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 4% and reinforcing the tight clustering around 21°C ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 27. August?
21°C 53%
22°C 28%
20°C 12%
23°C 4%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
53%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 28%
20°C 12%
23°C 4%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
53%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models project a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Helsinki on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light southeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (52.5%) and 22°C (27.0%), reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range of ensemble outcomes. Current readings sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8°C, supported by modest daytime warming but limited by persistent cloud cover that caps further intensification. Updated model runs released on August 26 show little spread or trend toward warmer or cooler extremes, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 4% and reinforcing the tight clustering around 21°C ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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