Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on August 27 centering near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels. Late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows declining from 13°C early in the month toward 9°C, with radiative cooling enhanced by clear intervals but moderated by residual Baltic moisture. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, producing a 2–3°C range across members that keeps 8°C and 12–14°C outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations expected within 24 hours will refine the minimum, which is measured at the official Helsinki station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 27. August?
8°C 86%
9°C 86%
12°C 86%
13°C 86%
5°C or below
44%
6°C
31%
7°C
58%
8°C
86%
9°C
86%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
86%
13°C
86%
14°C
86%
15°C oder höher
2%
8°C 86%
9°C 86%
12°C 86%
13°C 86%
5°C or below
44%
6°C
31%
7°C
58%
8°C
86%
9°C
86%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
86%
13°C
86%
14°C
86%
15°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on August 27 centering near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels. Late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows declining from 13°C early in the month toward 9°C, with radiative cooling enhanced by clear intervals but moderated by residual Baltic moisture. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, producing a 2–3°C range across members that keeps 8°C and 12–14°C outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations expected within 24 hours will refine the minimum, which is measured at the official Helsinki station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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