**Short-term forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a maximum temperature in Manila on August 27, 2026, most likely between 29–32 °C under the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further moderate daytime peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31 °C, but inter-model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight distribution between 30 °C and 32 °C that traders currently price highest. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and local observations will refine whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33 °C or sustained convection keeps readings closer to 30 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 27. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 27. August?
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
36%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
NEU
NEU
27. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$1,620 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$23 Vol.
5%
29°C
$14 Vol.
14%
30°C
$82 Vol.
29%
31°C
$352 Vol.
36%
32°C
$196 Vol.
17%
33°C
$60 Vol.
4%
34°C
$85 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$156 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a maximum temperature in Manila on August 27, 2026, most likely between 29–32 °C under the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further moderate daytime peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31 °C, but inter-model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight distribution between 30 °C and 32 °C that traders currently price highest. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and local observations will refine whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33 °C or sustained convection keeps readings closer to 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$2,673Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a maximum temperature in Manila on August 27, 2026, most likely between 29–32 °C under the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further moderate daytime peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31 °C, but inter-model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight distribution between 30 °C and 32 °C that traders currently price highest. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and local observations will refine whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33 °C or sustained convection keeps readings closer to 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,673Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a maximum temperature in Manila on August 27, 2026, most likely between 29–32 °C under the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further moderate daytime peaks. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31 °C, but inter-model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight distribution between 30 °C and 32 °C that traders currently price highest. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and local observations will refine whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming toward 32–33 °C or sustained convection keeps readings closer to 30 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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