Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily high of 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a post-heat-wave cooling pattern following peaks near 39°C on August 25. Model consensus points to modest instability with light winds and humidity near 65%, limiting afternoon heating compared to recent clear-sky conditions. Market-implied odds favor 36–37°C as the modal outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of residual warmth or localized maxima, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with the elevated rain chances that could suppress temperatures. Official observations from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with updates expected as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 27. August?
36°C 37%
37°C 25%
35°C 21%
34°C 10%
$12,675 Vol.
$12,675 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
10%
35°C
21%
36°C
37%
37°C
25%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
37°C 25%
35°C 21%
34°C 10%
$12,675 Vol.
$12,675 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
10%
35°C
21%
36°C
37%
37°C
25%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily high of 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 27, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a post-heat-wave cooling pattern following peaks near 39°C on August 25. Model consensus points to modest instability with light winds and humidity near 65%, limiting afternoon heating compared to recent clear-sky conditions. Market-implied odds favor 36–37°C as the modal outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of residual warmth or localized maxima, while lower probabilities for 35°C or below align with the elevated rain chances that could suppress temperatures. Official observations from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with updates expected as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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