Forecasts for Chengdu's minimum temperature on August 28 center on 24–26°C due to model variability in overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, widespread thunderstorms, and light northerly winds expected from official guidance. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover will limit temperature drops after daytime highs near 32°C, while basin topography and seasonal late-summer moisture sustain elevated dew points around 24°C that moderate lows. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C, with new model runs and observational updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 28. August?
25°C 42%
27°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
26°C 40%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
33%
24°C
36%
25°C
42%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
41%
25°C 42%
27°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
26°C 40%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
33%
24°C
36%
25°C
42%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Chengdu's minimum temperature on August 28 center on 24–26°C due to model variability in overnight radiative cooling under high humidity, widespread thunderstorms, and light northerly winds expected from official guidance. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover will limit temperature drops after daytime highs near 32°C, while basin topography and seasonal late-summer moisture sustain elevated dew points around 24°C that moderate lows. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C, with new model runs and observational updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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