Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 29. August?
31°C 33%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$105 Vol.
2%
28°C
$60 Vol.
4%
29°C
$289 Vol.
8%
30°C
$642 Vol.
18%
31°C
$316 Vol.
33%
32°C
$109 Vol.
25%
33°C
$273 Vol.
12%
34°C
$16 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$65 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$2,291Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,291Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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