Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show partly cloudy conditions with onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer expected to produce overnight lows in the mid-50s for San Francisco on August 29, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 56°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 56–57°F and 49°F-or-below bins because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and stratus coverage can shift the minimum by several degrees through differences in radiational cooling and turbulent mixing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker low clouds would limit cooling and favor the higher range, while clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward or below historical extremes near 48°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF remain modest but highlight this sensitivity ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
49°F oder darunter 94%
50-51°F 75%
54-55°F 25%
52-53°F 9%
$1,250 Vol.
$1,250 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
49°F oder darunter
94%
50-51°F
75%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
54%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F oder höher
<1%
49°F oder darunter 94%
50-51°F 75%
54-55°F 25%
52-53°F 9%
$1,250 Vol.
$1,250 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
49°F oder darunter
$82 Vol.
94%
50-51°F
$50 Vol.
75%
52-53°F
$19 Vol.
9%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$246 Vol.
54%
58-59°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$103 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
68°F oder höher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show partly cloudy conditions with onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer expected to produce overnight lows in the mid-50s for San Francisco on August 29, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 56°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 56–57°F and 49°F-or-below bins because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and stratus coverage can shift the minimum by several degrees through differences in radiational cooling and turbulent mixing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker low clouds would limit cooling and favor the higher range, while clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward or below historical extremes near 48°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF remain modest but highlight this sensitivity ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,250Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show partly cloudy conditions with onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer expected to produce overnight lows in the mid-50s for San Francisco on August 29, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 56°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 56–57°F and 49°F-or-below bins because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and stratus coverage can shift the minimum by several degrees through differences in radiational cooling and turbulent mixing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker low clouds would limit cooling and favor the higher range, while clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward or below historical extremes near 48°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF remain modest but highlight this sensitivity ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,250Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show partly cloudy conditions with onshore westerly flow and a moderate marine layer expected to produce overnight lows in the mid-50s for San Francisco on August 29, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 56°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 56–57°F and 49°F-or-below bins because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and stratus coverage can shift the minimum by several degrees through differences in radiational cooling and turbulent mixing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker low clouds would limit cooling and favor the higher range, while clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward or below historical extremes near 48°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF remain modest but highlight this sensitivity ahead of final overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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