Forecast models from multiple agencies align on a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 29, with southeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and isolated light showers expected to cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs of 31–33 °C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, consistent with late-summer climatology where average August maxima reach about 31 °C. The strong 60 % market weighting on 32 °C reflects this model consensus and limited upside potential from clearing skies, while the 24.5 % on 31 °C accounts for possible earlier rain suppression and the smaller 11.5 % on 33 °C for any temporary breaks in cloud. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 29. August?
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$666 Vol.
1%
29°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$711 Vol.
4%
31°C
$737 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2,236 Vol.
60%
33°C
$1,474 Vol.
12%
34°C
$634 Vol.
3%
35°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies align on a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 29, with southeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and isolated light showers expected to cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs of 31–33 °C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, consistent with late-summer climatology where average August maxima reach about 31 °C. The strong 60 % market weighting on 32 °C reflects this model consensus and limited upside potential from clearing skies, while the 24.5 % on 31 °C accounts for possible earlier rain suppression and the smaller 11.5 % on 33 °C for any temporary breaks in cloud. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,719Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies align on a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 29, with southeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and isolated light showers expected to cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs of 31–33 °C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, consistent with late-summer climatology where average August maxima reach about 31 °C. The strong 60 % market weighting on 32 °C reflects this model consensus and limited upside potential from clearing skies, while the 24.5 % on 31 °C accounts for possible earlier rain suppression and the smaller 11.5 % on 33 °C for any temporary breaks in cloud. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,719Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies align on a daytime high of 32–33 °C for Shanghai on August 29, with southeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and isolated light showers expected to cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs of 31–33 °C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, consistent with late-summer climatology where average August maxima reach about 31 °C. The strong 60 % market weighting on 32 °C reflects this model consensus and limited upside potential from clearing skies, while the 24.5 % on 31 °C accounts for possible earlier rain suppression and the smaller 11.5 % on 33 °C for any temporary breaks in cloud. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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