**Persistent extreme heat across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and a hot, dry air mass, sets the stage for elevated temperatures on August 27, though increasing cloud cover introduces some uncertainty.** Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate highs generally in the mid-to-upper 80s°F at coastal and airport stations like LAX (around 88°F) and potentially low-to-mid 90s°F downtown or inland, well above the long-term average high of roughly 77°F. The current heat wave has produced readings 10–20°F above normal, with August 26 peaking near or above 95–100°F in many areas amid an extreme heat warning. For August 27, mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms—tied to tropical moisture—could limit full solar heating and slightly suppress the daily maximum compared to the prior day. Model consensus and recent observational trends (e.g., prior days in the low-to-mid 80s before the peak) support the market’s heavy weighting toward 84–87°F outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting trader assessment of these moderating influences against the broader hot pattern. New model runs and NWS updates through the afternoon of August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 27. August?
84-85°F 51%
86-87°F 36%
82-83°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
77°F oder darunter
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
51%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 51%
86-87°F 36%
82-83°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
77°F oder darunter
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
51%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent extreme heat across Southern California, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and a hot, dry air mass, sets the stage for elevated temperatures on August 27, though increasing cloud cover introduces some uncertainty.** Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate highs generally in the mid-to-upper 80s°F at coastal and airport stations like LAX (around 88°F) and potentially low-to-mid 90s°F downtown or inland, well above the long-term average high of roughly 77°F. The current heat wave has produced readings 10–20°F above normal, with August 26 peaking near or above 95–100°F in many areas amid an extreme heat warning. For August 27, mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms—tied to tropical moisture—could limit full solar heating and slightly suppress the daily maximum compared to the prior day. Model consensus and recent observational trends (e.g., prior days in the low-to-mid 80s before the peak) support the market’s heavy weighting toward 84–87°F outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting trader assessment of these moderating influences against the broader hot pattern. New model runs and NWS updates through the afternoon of August 26 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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