Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show moderate uncertainty in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 27, with most guidance clustering between 25–28°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift toward southwesterly flow. This spread supports the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C (30%), followed by 26°C and 28°C, as traders weigh potential afternoon heating against cooling from precipitation. Conditions follow warmer days earlier in the week, yet remain near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of 24°C, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 27. August?
27°C 31%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
25%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 31%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
25%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show moderate uncertainty in maximum temperatures for Paris on August 27, with most guidance clustering between 25–28°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift toward southwesterly flow. This spread supports the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C (30%), followed by 26°C and 28°C, as traders weigh potential afternoon heating against cooling from precipitation. Conditions follow warmer days earlier in the week, yet remain near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of 24°C, with resolution depending on official Météo-France observations of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen