Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 27. August?
38°C 32%
37°C 31%
39°C 20%
36°C 19%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
31%
38°C
32%
39°C
15%
40°C
11%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
9%
38°C 32%
37°C 31%
39°C 20%
36°C 19%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
31%
38°C
32%
39°C
15%
40°C
11%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and mountainous basin topography typically drive late-August highs of 35–40°C, with urban heat-island effects amplifying peaks. Current forecasts from AccuWeather and BBC models indicate a 37–39°C range for August 27, centered near 37–38°C, as a ridge of high pressure builds with light southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover before any afternoon convection develops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37°C and 38°C reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and the moderating influence of scattered thunderstorms, while lower-probability tails account for possible stronger heat advection or clearer skies. Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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