Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 28 amid continued warm, humid conditions with light showers and northeast to east winds of 10–20 km/h. High dew points near 25–27°C and extensive cloud cover will limit nighttime radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C but recent patterns favor slightly elevated values. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance, with only narrow scope for deviation. A faster wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, while persistent overcast and rain would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 28. August?
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$13,667 Vol.
NEU
$13,667 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$13,667 Vol.
NEU
$13,667 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$1,716 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,651 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,168 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,944 Vol.
99%
28°C
$2,297 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$899 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 28 amid continued warm, humid conditions with light showers and northeast to east winds of 10–20 km/h. High dew points near 25–27°C and extensive cloud cover will limit nighttime radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C but recent patterns favor slightly elevated values. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance, with only narrow scope for deviation. A faster wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, while persistent overcast and rain would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$13,667Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 28 amid continued warm, humid conditions with light showers and northeast to east winds of 10–20 km/h. High dew points near 25–27°C and extensive cloud cover will limit nighttime radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C but recent patterns favor slightly elevated values. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance, with only narrow scope for deviation. A faster wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, while persistent overcast and rain would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,667Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 28 amid continued warm, humid conditions with light showers and northeast to east winds of 10–20 km/h. High dew points near 25–27°C and extensive cloud cover will limit nighttime radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C but recent patterns favor slightly elevated values. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance, with only narrow scope for deviation. A faster wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C, while persistent overcast and rain would reinforce the 27°C outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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