**Forecast models from multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a daytime high in Busan on August 29, 2026, most likely between 29–31°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h.** High humidity (80–85%) and expected precipitation (40–70% chance) will limit intense surface heating, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where average highs hover near 28–30°C. Current observations show morning temperatures near 28–30°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 30–31°C before cooling overnight. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 76% implied probability, reflecting the realistic upper bound if clearing allows brief additional warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 33°C due to the moderating effects of cloud cover and rain. Lower outcomes (below 29°C) carry minimal odds given the baseline warmth. Updated model runs closer to peak heating hours remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 29. August?
32°C 65%
33°C 37%
34°C 4%
35°C <1%
$37,785 Vol.
$37,785 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
65%
33°C
32%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 37%
34°C 4%
35°C <1%
$37,785 Vol.
$37,785 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
65%
33°C
32%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a daytime high in Busan on August 29, 2026, most likely between 29–31°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h.** High humidity (80–85%) and expected precipitation (40–70% chance) will limit intense surface heating, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where average highs hover near 28–30°C. Current observations show morning temperatures near 28–30°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 30–31°C before cooling overnight. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 76% implied probability, reflecting the realistic upper bound if clearing allows brief additional warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 33°C due to the moderating effects of cloud cover and rain. Lower outcomes (below 29°C) carry minimal odds given the baseline warmth. Updated model runs closer to peak heating hours remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen