**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 30. August?
96-97°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
83°F oder darunter
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
3%
102°F oder höher
1%
96-97°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
83°F oder darunter
$258 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$17 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$28 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$21 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$33 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$348 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$561 Vol.
40%
98-99°F
$69 Vol.
14%
100-101°F
$149 Vol.
3%
102°F oder höher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability.
Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,555Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability.
Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,555Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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