Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and high-resolution models point to a Buenos Aires minimum near 11–12°C on August 30, supported by easterly winds, stable high pressure, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling in late Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C while lower outcomes like 7°C reflect historical August climatology and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling, whereas 16°C+ probabilities capture upside from warmer advection. Key uncertainties center on evolving cloud fraction and boundary-layer winds, with final readings likely hinging on the last model runs before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 30. August?
12°C 73%
16°C oder höher 52%
8°C 33%
7°C 29%
6°C oder weniger
22%
7°C
29%
8°C
33%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
5%
12°C
73%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C oder höher
52%
12°C 73%
16°C oder höher 52%
8°C 33%
7°C 29%
6°C oder weniger
22%
7°C
29%
8°C
33%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
5%
12°C
73%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C oder höher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and high-resolution models point to a Buenos Aires minimum near 11–12°C on August 30, supported by easterly winds, stable high pressure, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling in late Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C while lower outcomes like 7°C reflect historical August climatology and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling, whereas 16°C+ probabilities capture upside from warmer advection. Key uncertainties center on evolving cloud fraction and boundary-layer winds, with final readings likely hinging on the last model runs before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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